Short-Medium Range Deterministic Models
Models | Horizontal Resolution | Model Run Times | Forecast Horizon | Coverage | Maps | CWGs | Power |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MAGMA | n/a | Hourly+ | 16 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | |
ECMWF | 0.1° (~9km) | 00,06*,12,18* | 10 days / 3.75* days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
MDai-FCNO^ | 0.25° (~27km) | 00,06,12,18 | 15 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
ECMWF AIFS | 0.25° (~27km) | 00,06,12,18 | 15 days | Global | ✓ | ||
GFS | ~13km | 00,06,12,18 | 16 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
GEM | 0.25° (~27km) | 00,12 | 10 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | |
UKMO Global | 10km | 00,06*,12,18* | 7 days / 2.75* days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
UKMO UKV | 1.5km | 00,03**,06,09,12,15**,18,21 | 2.25 days / 5** days | UK | ✓ | ✓ | |
DWD ICON | 7km | 00,06,12,18 | 5 days | Europe | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
ICON-2 | 0.02° (2.2km) | 00,03,06,09,12,15,18,21 | 2 days | C. Europe | ✓ | ✓ | |
ARPEGE | 0.1° (~9km) | 00,06,12,18 | 2.5 - 4.75 days | Europe | ✓ | ||
NAM HRES | 3km | 00,06,12,18 | 2.5 days | USA | ✓ | ✓ | |
HRRR | 3km | 00,06,12,18 | 2 days | USA | ✓ | ✓ |
* = Boundary Condition (BC) run with different forecast horizon to the standard runs.
^ = MetDesk AI FourCastNet Operational model
** = Alternate forecast horizon to standard runs.
Short-Medium Range Ensemble Models
Models | Members | Horizontal Resolution | Model Run Times | Forecast Horizon | Coverage | Maps | CWGs | Power |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EC EPS | Control + 50 | 0.1° (~9km) | 00,06*,12,18* | 15 days / 6* days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
MDai-FCNE^ | Control + 50 | 0.25° (~27km) | 00,06,12,18 | 15 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
GFS ENS | Control + 20 | 0.5° (~54km) | 00,06,12,18 | 16 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
CMC ENS | Control + 20 | 0.5° (~54km) | 00,12 | 16 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | |
MOGREPS | 2x (Control + 17)^^ | 20km | 00,06,12,18 | 8.25 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
* = Boundary Condition (BC) run with different forecast horizon to the standard runs.
^ = MetDesk AI FourCastNet Ensemble model
^^ = Total ensemble members (36) taken from Control+17 perturbed members at initialisation time and Control+17 perturbed members initialised 12 hours previously.
Sub-Seasonal Range Forecast Horizon
Models | Members | Horizontal Resolution | Model Run Times | Forecast Horizon | Coverage | Maps | CWGs | Power |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EC46 | Control + 100 | 0.4° (~ 36km) | 00 (disseminated after 12z run) | 46 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
MDai50 | Control + 50 | 0.25° (~27km) | 00 (available by 08:00UTC) | 50 daays | Global | ✓ | ✓ | |
GFS ENS (Extended)* | Control + 20 | 0.5° (~54km) | 00 | 35 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
CMC ENS (Extended) | Control + 20 | 0.5° (~54km) | 00 (Thu only) | Global | ✓ | ✓ | ||
CFS L-RANGE | 4 | 54km | 00,06,12,18 | 44.25 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ | |
CFS DAILY | 16^ | 54km | 18 | ~45 days | Global | ✓ | ✓ |
* = MetDesk also runs a proxy for the upcoming GFS Extended 00z ENS run, using the ensemble members as they are released, ahead of the full release later in the day.
^ = Derived from sum of the 4 CFS L-Range members from each of the last 4 runs.
Seasonal Range Forecast Horizon
Models | Information | Horizontal Resolution | Output Released* | Forecast Horizon | Coverage |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ECMWF | 51 member ensemble, initialised on 1st of month. | 36km | 5th of month | 7 months | Global |
UKMO | Mean of 2 ensemble members initialised each day during previous month. | 0.56° (~60km) | 13th of month | 6 months | Global |
NCEP-CFS | Mean of 1 member initialised every 6hrs during previous month | 1.0° | 13th of month | 6 months | Global |
DWD | 50 member ensemble, initialised on 1st of month. | ~100km | 13th of month | 6 months | Global |
MeteoFrance | 25 members initialised on last & penultimate Thursdays of previous month. Then 1 member initialised on 1st of month. | 0.5° | 13th of month | 6 months | Global |
CMCC-MED | 50 member ensemble, initialised on 1st of month. | 0.5° | 13th of month | 6 months | Global |
JMA | Mean of 5 ensemble members initialised each day during previous month. | ~55km | 13th of month | 6 months | Global |
CanSIPS | 10 member ensemble, initialised on 1st of month. | 2.8° | 13th of month | 6 months | Global |
C3S Multi-Model | An average of monthly mean anomalies from the above models | n/a | 13th of month | 6 months | Global |
* = Released at 12UTC/GMT/Z on the day of the month stated.